This study presents an economic analysis of grid-connected residential rooftop PVs in Turkey under the current feed-in tariff (FiT) scheme. Three solar parts are formed on the solar map of Turkey to discuss the effect of solar radiation differences between regions on the feasibility of the systems.
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To determine the potential solar capacity from suitable roof areas, calculations relied on assessments from rooftop solar installers and rooftop solar projects recently installed in Türkiye.
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Türkiye’s rooftop solar potential is close to ten times its current installed solar capacity. The top three provinces for total rooftop solar potential are Istanbul (10.4 GW), Ankara (10.1 GW) and Izmir (9.3 GW), the provinces with the highest population.
It is therefore not clear what planned capacity will be installed on rooftops, land or water surfaces. Türkiye’s technical potential of at least 120 GW of rooftop solar capacity indicates that rooftops will play an important role in achieving the country’s solar energy capacity targets.
Türkiye, which has ambitious solar targets, has a rooftop potential almost ten times its installed solar capacity. In addition to the current potential of roofs, tens of thousands of new buildings are being constructed every year in Türkiye with the rebuilding effort in the earthquake zone raising this figure even higher.
and less than 7 US¢ for the most recent auction in Turkey. As such, the study was considered to be timely. Most stakeholders agreed that a significant amount of the solar PV potential in Turkey could come from RSPV systems.
Total rooftop solar capacity potential is estimated at 120 GW, based on the flat and pitched roof areas classified as suitable in 70 provinces of Türkiye.
Potential generation from 120 GW of rooftop capacity can cover 45% of Türkiye’s 2022 electricity consumption. With its production potential of 11.4 TWh, Istanbul is behind Ankara (12.5 TWh) and Izmir (12.4 TWh), which have higher solar potential.
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